When and Where Will It Rain?
The title of today’s blog says it all, as in that’s what you want to know. In a blanket statement response, I am sticking by my words of yesterday that we have the best risk of downpours in 6 weeks this afternoon and evening.
I will be giving updates on radar interpretation as time permits this afternoon.
10 PM Post Mortem
It's almost 10 now and the shower and storm action is winding down for the evening. Deep reds dot the WV mountains where a flood advisory is in effect in Pocahontas County. Good news for cattle and hay farmers in the high country.
Some decent downpours are roaming the Tug Valley of Mingo and Pike Counties and Guyandotte Valley of Logan Co. Elsewhere, showers are light and scattered.
Since the air remains humid and a front is till to cross the region, there is the likelihood that new showers will form overnight. But our best chance has now passed.
Rain totals accumulated as much as an inch thru the southern Ohio farmlands where my friends the Lewis' grow soybeans. Doppler radar suggests an inch fell in West Portsmouth and Carl Etterling of Wheelersburg measured .6". Much of Jackson, Gallia and Meigs counties also did fairly well as did Lewis County Kentucky.
But the amount of rain that fell in the stretch between Olive Hill-Huntington and Charleston was less than .25". That is far too little an amount to put a dent into the drought. I even had one report on no rain in the Stamford Park section of Huntington.
Likewise, the Coalfield rain picture showed only select areas had downpours though Mingo and Logan are dpoing well currently.
Now a less humid air mass will invade Wednesday and hold thru Thursday. That cozier air will suppress our chances for new rains. Next chance of rain, after tonight's overnight risk ends, won't come until the air gets humid again and that will come this weekend.
So for West Virginia Day activities in Charleston, Happy 144th WV, and for the opening round of the Bluegrass Invitational at Bellefonte, the Wednesday feel to the air will be much nicer and the look much cleaner thanks to a nice north breeze. Highs will be near 85.
6:30 RADAR UPDATE
A nice line of showers and thunderstorms with beneficial rains is along the Ohio River from Parkersburg-Marietta to Pomeroy to Gallipolis-Point Pleasant to Huntignton-Ashland at 6:30. The line is moving steadily eastward and will be approach the Kanawha Valley by 7:30-8 PM. A few power hits and some nuisance street flooding are likely. More importantly, a general one half to one inch of rain will fall to quell drought conditions, if only for a day.
Unfortunately, the line breaks up as it moves southward thru Kentucky. Still, I do expect some regeneration of storms as they cross the Coalfields after 8 PM.
4:45 RADAR UPDATE
The first line of showers and storms is now out of the Kanawha Valley and Heading up I-79. Of growing interest is the next cluster of cells that stretches from Columbus south along Rt 23 into Scioto County then across Northern Kentucky thru Western Lewis County.
This second line is running headfirst into a hot and humid air mass so i expect cells to grow stronger and produce strong winds and torrential downpours on the trip from Vanceburg to Friendship to Ashland-Ironton-Huntington will likely wash out many little league tournament games.
Opps, Warning for Lewis County has been issued gotta go!
3:10 RADAR UPDATE
Those are beautiful rains crossing Lincoln, Boone and Putnam Counties right now with Kanawha and Charleston up next. Look for the heaviest rains as the storm line moves in to last 15-30 minutes followed by a nice shower for another half hour.
It is still rather quiet from Spring Valley westward. But the temperature is close to 90 and humidity levels are high, so action should percolate as the early evening unfolds. In fact some severe weather is on-going between Cincinnati and Columbus, so later on this evening I expect a round of heavy storms to pass through.
2:10 RADAR UPDATE
Street flooding downpours and power hits from lightning bolts are likely between 2:10 and 3:30 thru Eastern Wayne, Lincoln, Mingo, Logan, Boone, Kanawha, Putnam, Jackson and Roane Counties WV. An inch of rain in a half hour will be more rain than has fallen in the entire month of June so far in these areas.
Just had a call about the Spring Valley pitching and hitting clinic from a nice man named Larry. They have a kid’s clinic from 5 til 8:30. This first line is of no factor. But between Spring Valley and Indianapolis there are too many showers and storms to count. And since our weather is rotating in from the west and south, I told Larry I did not see a dry 3 hour window for that event. I feel strongly there will be a shower and a downpour with lightning in most areas before 8:30.
As for the practice round of the AJGA at Bellefonte, nothing in sight for the next hour, but things should percolate after 3:30.
More to come