SPRING STORM DAYS AHEAD
Near ninety degree heat and an influx of tropical moisture this week have set the stage for a 3 day spell of active weather across the region.
The first round of heavy storms, while scattered on Tuesday night, served notice; namely, heavy weather is likely to grow in coverage as the week rolls on.
Tuesday night's streaky storms dumped as much as .5" to 1.5" of rain from the Gilbert Creek and Pidgeon Creek watersheds of Mingo County through Logan into Kanawha County and then up I-77/79 toward Spencer, Sutton and Clarksburg.
Ditto strong winds and lightning strikes moved through the Kentucky Coalfields with Pike and Martin Counties shaking from the rain, wind and thunder.
With a fall-like cold front set to slice through the region on Thursday, in time the risk of flooding and power hits will elevate in response.
Areas where the soil is freshly soaked from Tuesday's downpours could be sitting ducks from the next train of rain.
While the worst of the wind storms (downburst/ straight line or even tornadic) will tend to be isolated to scattered in scope and mainly west toward I-65/75 and Louisville-Lexington-Cincy-Dayton and Columbus, a Severe Thunderstorm or even Tornado Watch could graze our Southern Ohio and Eastern Kentucky zones on Wednesday afternoon-night.
Still our main risk will come on Thursday when there is some conjecture that high water may be more widespread if the cold front slows down as it crosses the region.
In summary, the nature of the severe weather will range from high wind and hail storms across parts of Ohio and Kentucky, to probable high water and stream flooding in West Virginia.
The timing and intensity of the heavy weather will be a function of how fast the approaching cold front moves and the ability of storms to congregate on specific locations for an extended period of time.
Watches and warnings for high water and high winds will be issued as necessary from the National Weather Service.