Randy Yohe and I are just about to leave for the Ironton Memorial Day parade. Amy tells me it won’t rain, so the umbrellas we will be giving away will be to combat the heat! But the lack of rain and growing heat have me concerned about summer drought.
Back on May 10th, my blog (http://www.wsaz.com/tonysblog/headlines/7505202.html) first broached the drought subject. My prediction then, which I am tenuously standing by this Memorial Day, holds fast. I see us on the brink of drought all summer long, but with relieving thunderstorms saving the day on several occasions.
Still on this Memorial Day, I am issuing a Drought Watch. This may seem like a contradiction, but fact is it is not. On the contrary, I am in effect saying that a forecast for drought quenching thunderstorms is far from a sure thing. My favorite statement holds especially true. "If I knew for sure I would be making millions on Wall Street.” Truly!
As for the statistics, basically one of the top 10 driest May’s is almost in the books. That all but assures we will have a blazing summer. That's because May dryness breeds Summer Heat. Again, my blog of early May tells why.
Fortunately, we had a surplus of rain in March-April and the winter held its own with moisture. But if you have a field of Soybeans like my buddy Wayne Lewis in the Scioto Bottom lands of West Portsmouth or your cash crop is burley tobacco as it is in the Little Sandy Valley of Carter County for farmer Kenny Glass, you need rain to get those plants growing.
Sure seed germination has begun thanks to the minimal May moisture, but as John Marra has coached me over the years, "it takes one good downpour per week, an inch is perfect," to get a bumper crop. And we have been 2 weeks without that soaker.
Right now, Amy and Todd are talking scattered action at best this Memorial Day. That forecast then leads me to state, "the pressure is on that the next front due in this weekend had better come through with some downpours or else." That will be the first test of the season for the "On the brink of drought all summer" forecast that I will stick with until proven wrong.
I will have tidbits for coping with the dryness all week long and look for me on the farm with a report this week.