Even as September comes to a close and October begins, the weather will be more summerlike than anything as afternoon temperatures climb well into the 80s over the next several days. This comes along with plentiful sunshine and no chance for rain. A pattern change looks to arrive on Friday when a strong fall cold front sweeps through, bringing rain chances for only a day but significantly cooler temperatures for several days in its wake.
Tropical Storm Ophelia, which made landfall early Saturday morning along the coast of North Carolina, has brought clouds to much of the region as well as light rain across eastern West Virginia. The rain tapers Saturday night, but the clouds continue to spread farther west on Sunday. Monday stays generally cloudy but dry before scattered showers and storms return to the forecast for much of the week ahead as a system stalls out overhead.
Fall is officially here, with the equinox having occurred at 2:50 AM. This weekend, a tropical storm - Ophelia - making landfall along the coast of North Carolina influences the weather locally. Clouds and showers from this system will be focused primarily in eastern West Virginia, especially east of I-77. Farther west, dry weather holds under lots of sunshine. Once the system departs, there will still be scattered showers and storms for much of the week ahead as temperatures stay seasonable for this time of year.
The nice weather the region has been treated to these past few days will be briefly interrupted by a round of showers moving in Saturday night. Rain continues into Sunday morning before the steadier precipitation exits, leaving behind just isolated showers for Sunday afternoon and night. Then, despite a stray shower or two on Monday, dry weather takes hold for the rest of the week ahead. Temperatures turn quite warm for the final few days of summer and aim towards the mid 80s during the afternoons.
Gorgeous weather that was seen at the end of the work week carries over into the start of the weekend. After a chilly start, temperatures rebound towards seasonable levels on Saturday afternoon with lots of sunshine. Then, a quick-moving system brings rain to the forecast Saturday night into Sunday morning, with scattered showers sticking around Sunday and Monday afternoons. After that, several dry and warm days are in store for the summer season finale.
Showers and storms favored southern and eastern parts of the region on Saturday and produced locally heavy rainfall. Another round of storms develops on Sunday and will once again favor West Virginia and eastern Kentucky. Slow-moving downpours may lead to high water in spots. By Monday, rain chances are rather limited before another system brings widespread showers and a few storms on Tuesday. However, behind this system will be a nice early taste of fall to finish out the work week.
An unsettled pattern is in place this weekend as a front has stalled out to the east, sending copious amounts of moisture into the region. This leads to the opportunity for scattered showers and storms both days, though plenty of dry time will also be had. The main problem with these storms is how slow-moving they will be, resulting in high water. Unsettled weather continues through the middle of the upcoming week before an early taste of fall settles in.
Most hours of the day will end up rain-free, though there's still plenty of humidity around to scare up a few showers and storms, mainly this afternoon and mainly toward the mountains. This weekend will see the hit/miss pattern of showers continue, though still with plenty of rain-free (and heat-free) hours to be had.
Fortunately, the Labor Day Weekend stayed dry, but the trade-off was the lingering summertime heat. Temperatures peak in the mid 90s on Tuesday then begin dropping into the upcoming weekend as a pattern change brings more seasonable weather back into the picture. This does come with a return of rain chances, although they looked to be scattered at best.
“Persistence” has definitely been the theme of the weather these past few days: clear and comfortable mornings with patchy fog are followed by mostly sunny but hot afternoons. This pattern continues through Wednesday, then a change is in store on Thursday and Friday as moisture increases ahead of an approaching cold front. Once that front passes on Friday, conditions look to improve for the weekend with more seasonable temperatures, although a second cold front may scare up an isolated shower or two.
Temperatures for many locations spiked to the 90-degree mark Saturday afternoon with only scattered cloud cover to temporarily block the still-scorching September sun. Much of the same is expected through Wednesday as a heat ridge remains parked over the region. By Thursday, the ridge breaks down allowing rain chances and more seasonable temperatures to return. Following a cold front on Friday, rain should clear the area in time for the upcoming weekend.
Despite a taste of fall just a couple days ago, the summery feel returns for the holiday weekend as temperatures heat up. At least this comes with dry weather and tolerable humidity levels. The heat peaks for the middle of next week before showers and storms creep back in by the end of the week, knocking temperatures down.
After the locally dense morning fog, it's off to better pastures as a mix of sunshine and clouds and a northerly breeze help keep us in the 70s for much of the afternoon. It's the start of a rather long stretch of pleasant weather that will eventually have us heating up this weekend.
We'll be tracking more pockets of steady rains coming through the Tri-State today. While most areas can handle these without much more than a temporary disruption, were these same downpours to fall in areas hit hard yesterday we'll have yet more flooding on our hands. There is a Flash Flood Watch for those same hard-hit counties in West Virginia from this afternoon into tonight.
Flash Flood Warnings continue in communities up I-79 and just south of Charleston in West Virginia through about midday. Be very mindful, do NOT drive across any flooded roadways, even as the rain subsides. Meanwhile, much of the rest of the region, particularly across the Ohio River in Ohio, are experiencing much calmer weather and sunshine. This split picture will be our lot tomorrow as well.
Scattered showers and a couple storms lingered on Saturday in a still-humid atmosphere with a front stalled across the region. As this front pushes far enough south on Sunday, drier and less-humid conditions are expected. Moisture creeps back in on Monday and Tuesday but favors only southern and eastern parts of the region. Afterwards, drier and much more refreshing air is on tap to round out the upcoming week.
The intense heat was never realized on Friday as numerous rounds of storms formed in a very humid and unstable environment, also aided by a stalled-out front draped across the region. This front continues to remain stalled on Saturday and provides the focus for more scattered showers and storms.
The early storms fade to our south, but new storms are set to develop in the steamy heat that builds in between. Everyone will have to go through thunderstorms before we can work this heat back down to something more seasonable, even if it takes through tomorrow to do it.
The morning showers and storms progress southward and fade. Clouds initially hold temperatures more reasonably in the 70s and 80s, but any afternoon sunshine that breaks in will spike us to the 90s in oppressively hot fashion with all this humidity. We'll still be tracking future storm development, each new episode of those capable of causing spot flooding in the downpours they bring.
The comfortable morning air soon returns to the mid-summer heat as sunshine rules the skies. We'll be tracking approaching storms to our north later today, as they will dictate whether it's even hotter air or the storms themselves that provide the bigger concern Thursday and Friday.
The pleasant weather of Saturday carries on over into Sunday. Yes, temperatures will be hotter Sunday afternoon, but the humidity stays low. This changes on Monday when humidity increases and daytime temperatures get even hotter. It is part of an extended hot stretch that lasts through the entire work and school week. Showers and storms may get close by on Wednesday and Thursday, but most areas look to stay dry until the upcoming weekend when the heat ridge finally breaks down.
Saturday’s crisp start to the day is a reminder that fall is not too far away. But, before the cooler temperatures are here for good, another heat wave is in store for the week ahead. Now, the weekend weather is looking quite nice with sunshine, seasonably warm temperatures, and low humidity. However, the heat and humidity build starting on Monday and last through the entire work week. How hot temperatures get depends on cloud cover and if storms can get close by towards the end of the week, but as of now, it is looking like the hottest stretch of the summer thus far.
The dense morning fog lifts for rest-of-the-day sunshine, with temperatures heading for the 80s this afternoon. Despite a few passing showers overnight tonight, all the afternoons right into next week will feature sunshine.